UN: Current Climate Plans Would Cut Emissions by 10% by 2035, But Fall Far Short of 1.5°C Goal
UN: Current Climate Plans Would Cut Emissions by 10% by 2035, But Fall Far Short of 1.5°C Goal
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Global greenhouse gas emissions are projected to begin declining within the next decade under current national climate plans, but not fast enough to avert dangerous warming, the UN warned on Tuesday.
According to Arab News, a new analysis by the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) found that if governments deliver on their pledged climate actions, global emissions would fall by 10 percent by 2035 compared with 2019 levels. It is the first time since records began in 1990 that the UN has forecast a sustained reduction in emissions.
However, the projected cut remains far below the 60 percent reduction scientists say is required by 2035 to keep global warming below 1.5°C above pre-industrial temperatures — the internationally agreed threshold to prevent the worst climate impacts.
The findings increase pressure on countries ahead of next month’s COP30 summit in Brazil to raise ambition, even as the United States moves to reverse climate policies under President Donald Trump.
“Humanity is now clearly bending the emissions curve downwards for the first time, although still not nearly fast enough,” UNFCCC chief Simon Stiell said.
The UN analysis also includes climate targets announced but not yet formally submitted, such as from China and the EU, leaving uncertainties — particularly around the future trajectory of US emissions.
